Thursday, March 23, 2017

Slowing Revenue Growth in Florida Racino Slots

2016 Florida Revenues from Slots at Racino: Net Revenues Increase while Growth Slows

The charts and listings below tell the story of slowing growth and more expensive revenues in calendar year 2016 for the 8 Florida Racinos.

2017 proposed legislation for the Florida Racino Industry should require a significant review of what is happening with the eight existing Florida Racinos. The statistics are not indicative of a growth industry. 

Chart 1: Calendar Year Numbers for the 8 Florida Racinos

Chart 1 shows five of the eight Racinos with a decrease in Net Revenues, two with increases and one re-opening with new revenues in 2016.

Casino
Net Revenues    
Y/Y % change    
Hold %    
Promo %    
Market Share %
Gulfstream
$47,241,009
-3.49%
6.01%
24.52%
8.65%
Mardi Gras
45,767,506
-5.51%
6.75%
23.12%
8.38%
Pompano 
142,287,479
-3.41%
8.17%
17.68%
26.06%
Flagler
81,069,957
-2.92%
6.11%
3.57%
14.85%
Calder
74,370,902
-0.15%
7.18%
25.69%
13.62%
Miami Jai Alai 
61,782,543
0.80%
5.40%
16.70%
11.32%
Hialeah Park  
70,813,899
6.18%
5.81%
11.80%
12.97%
Dania Jai Alai *
20,046,515
 *
6.57%
17.12%
3.67%
Statewide
$543,379,810
2.88%
6.53%
16.75%
*Note – Dania Jai Alai re-opened in January 2016.  It was closed for remodeling during calendar year 2015.
 
Chart 2: Rate of Growth in Net Revenues

Statewide Net Revenues increased 2.88%, a dramatic slowdown from the previous two years. Further, this increase included the re-opening of Dania Jai Alai which added over $20 million to the statewide total in 2016 with zero in 2015. Statewide Net Revenues for 2015 were $530,661,905, an increase of $15,292,861 over 2014. Absent the Dania Net Revenues, statewide Net Revenues would have decreased $4,753,654 or 0.89%.
  • Years 2015 to 2016  =  2.88% (with the addition of Dania Jai Alai)
  • Years 2014 to 2015  =  4.97%
  • Years 2013 to 2014  =  8.11%

Chart 3: Net Revenue Growth per Additional Promotion Credit Invested for the 8 Florida Racinos combined

(ie,how much new net revenue was produced by each additional Promotional Credit?)

Charts 3 and 4 show that the effect of Net Revenue growth per additional promotional credits decreased significantly from 2014 and 2015.

Additional Promo
New $ Net Rev
New Net/Promo
2015 – 2016
 $         10,341,990
 $     15,292,861
 $                1.47
2014 – 2015
 $           4,841,127
 $     25,133,659
 $                5.19
2013 – 2014
 $             -849,240
 $     37,941,445
  *** 

***In 2014 Florida Racinos provided $849,240 fewer Promotional Credits than they did in 2013, yet they produced an additional $37,941,445 in additional Net Revenues.

In 2015 Florida Racinos provided $4,841,127 more Promotional Credits than they provided in 2014, and they produced an additional $25,133,659 additional Net Revenues, or + $5.19 per Promotional Credit provided.

In 2016 Florida Racinos provided $10,341,990 more Promotional Credits than they provided in 2015, and they produced an additional $15,292,861 additional Net Revenues, or $1.47 per promotional Credit provided. Promotional Credits in 2016 were only 28.3 % as effective in producing Net Revenues as they were in 2015 and significantly less than in 2014.

Chart 4: Promotional Credits as a Percent of Net Revenue
  • 2016 = 16.75%  y/y + 9.55%
  • 2015 = 15.29%  y/y + 1.32%
  • 2014 = 15.09%


Chart 5: Hold % = Net Revenues as a percent of total Credits In
Chart 5 shows a slight decrease in the Hold % for the overall Florida Racino facilities.
  • 2016 = 6.53% (-)
  • 2015 = 6.60%  +
  • 2014 = 6.35%

Source:  University Libraries, University of Nevada Las Vegas






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