2017 Florida Net Racino Slots Revenues Show Slight Increase

In the first half of 2017, we see a slight increase of 1.1% in Net Revenues from slot machines at racinos. However, the decline in the rate of growth for Florida racino slot machine net revenues continues.  (See our March 2017 revenues report for 2016 year-end numbers.) 

Table:  Florida Racino Slot Net Revenues, 2015-2017

Jan-Jun	Net Revenue*	YoY +/(-)	Promo**	YoY +/(-)
2017	$290,180,990	1.1%	$49,821,203	8.7%
2016	286,880,554	2.3%	45,822,841	10.2%
2015	280,464,109	6.1%	41,566,061	9.5%

* Net Revenue: Dollar amount of money retained by slot machines after paying jackpots.

** Promo: Total dollar amount of promotional credits played at the eight Florida locations.

Source:  University of Nevada Las Vegas, Center for Gaming Research, July 2017.

Slowing Revenue Growth in Florida Racino Slots

2016 Florida Revenues from Slots at Racino: Net Revenues Increase while Growth Slows

The charts and listings below tell the story of slowing growth and more expensive revenues in calendar year 2016 for the 8 Florida Racinos.

2017 proposed legislation for the Florida Racino Industry should require a significant review of what is happening with the eight existing Florida Racinos. The statistics are not indicative of a growth industry. 

Chart 1: Calendar Year Numbers for the 8 Florida Racinos

Chart 1 shows five of the eight Racinos with a decrease in Net Revenues, two with increases and one re-opening with new revenues in 2016.

Casino	Net Revenues	Y/Y % change	Hold %	Promo %	Market Share %
Gulfstream	$47,241,009	-3.49%	6.01%	24.52%	8.65%
Mardi Gras	45,767,506	-5.51%	6.75%	23.12%	8.38%
Pompano	142,287,479	-3.41%	8.17%	17.68%	26.06%
Flagler	81,069,957	-2.92%	6.11%	3.57%	14.85%
Calder	74,370,902	-0.15%	7.18%	25.69%	13.62%
Miami Jai Alai	61,782,543	0.80%	5.40%	16.70%	11.32%
Hialeah Park	70,813,899	6.18%	5.81%	11.80%	12.97%
Dania Jai Alai *	20,046,515	*	6.57%	17.12%	3.67%
Statewide	$543,379,810	2.88%	6.53%	16.75%

*Note – Dania Jai Alai re-opened in January 2016.  It was closed for remodeling during calendar year 2015.

 

Chart 2: Rate of Growth in Net Revenues

Statewide Net Revenues increased 2.88%, a dramatic slowdown from the previous two years. Further, this increase included the re-opening of Dania Jai Alai which added over $20 million to the statewide total in 2016 with zero in 2015. Statewide Net Revenues for 2015 were $530,661,905, an increase of $15,292,861 over 2014. Absent the Dania Net Revenues, statewide Net Revenues would have decreased $4,753,654 or 0.89%.

• Years 2015 to 2016  =  2.88% (with the addition of Dania Jai Alai)
• Years 2014 to 2015  =  4.97%
• Years 2013 to 2014  =  8.11%

Chart 3: Net Revenue Growth per Additional Promotion Credit Invested for the 8 Florida Racinos combined

(ie,how much new net revenue was produced by each additional Promotional Credit?)

Charts 3 and 4 show that the effect of Net Revenue growth per additional promotional credits decreased significantly from 2014 and 2015.

	Additional Promo	New $ Net Rev	New Net/Promo
2015 – 2016	$         10,341,990	$     15,292,861	$                1.47
2014 – 2015	$           4,841,127	$     25,133,659	$                5.19
2013 – 2014	$             -849,240	$     37,941,445	***

***In 2014 Florida Racinos provided $849,240 fewer Promotional Credits than they did in 2013, yet they produced an additional $37,941,445 in additional Net Revenues.

In 2015 Florida Racinos provided $4,841,127 more Promotional Credits than they provided in 2014, and they produced an additional $25,133,659 additional Net Revenues, or + $5.19 per Promotional Credit provided.

In 2016 Florida Racinos provided $10,341,990 more Promotional Credits than they provided in 2015, and they produced an additional $15,292,861 additional Net Revenues, or $1.47 per promotional Credit provided. Promotional Credits in 2016 were only 28.3 % as effective in producing Net Revenues as they were in 2015 and significantly less than in 2014.

Chart 4: Promotional Credits as a Percent of Net Revenue

• 2016 = 16.75%  y/y + 9.55%
• 2015 = 15.29%  y/y + 1.32%
• 2014 = 15.09%

Chart 5: Hold % = Net Revenues as a percent of total Credits In

Chart 5 shows a slight decrease in the Hold % for the overall Florida Racino facilities.

• 2016 = 6.53% (-)
• 2015 = 6.60%  +
• 2014 = 6.35%

Source:  University Libraries, University of Nevada Las Vegas

2016 Louisiana Casino/Racino Gaming Revenues: Q4 Up but Overall Decline Continues

2016 Louisiana Casino/Racino Gaming Revenues

Fourth Quarter improvement, but the decline continues

Fourth Quarter 2016 year-over-year gaming revenues for Louisiana casinos and racinos were an improvement over the first three quarters, but overall they were below the same 2015 fourth quarter.  Our charts below display both 4^th quarter and the full year revenue comparisons for the years 2015 and 2016.

These declines are now in excess of our projections detailed in our September 1, 2016 blog note and our blog notes from 2014.  Further, we continue with our assertion that the likely cause of declines is in gaming revenues is the continuing low oil and natural gas prices thereby depressing Louisiana and Texas oil and gas industries. 

Our second assertion is that within each market there is the beginning of stagnation of revenues due to an excess of casino and racino facilities and significant separation between large, new, effectively operated facilities and others.

Our on-site visits to each of the Louisiana casinos and racinos in 2014, 2015 and 2016 have provided additional evidence of this decline, separation and stagnation. 

With a continuation of troubles in the Louisiana and Texas energy sector, future declines would add to the likelihood of one or more casino and racino facilities being shuttered, sold or having a reorganization of ownership some time during the next three to six months.

Chart 1 – What happened in Q4 2016 ?

	Oct-Dec 2015	Oct-Dec 2016	$ Change	% Change
Shreveport/ Bossier City	$172,063,872	$162,924,445	($9,139,427)	-5.31%
Baton Rouge	93,787,445	99,128,389	$5,340,944	5.69%
New Orleans	147,840,863	142,072,503	($5,768,360)	-3.90%
Lake Charles	216,375,032	224,498,189	$8,123,157	3.75%
Total Louisiana	$630,067,212	$628,623,526	($1,443,686)	-0.23%

  

Chart 2 – And what happened in the calendar year 2016 ?

	Jan-Dec 2015	Jan-Dec 2016	$ Change	% Change
Shreveport/ Bossier City	$729,505,081	$688,750,938	($40,754,143)	-5.59%
Baton Rouge	379,520,470	379,176,289	($344,181)	-0.09%
New Orleans	626,185,220	582,788,969	($43,396,251)	-6.93%
Lake Charles	907,446,804	887,814,468	($19,632,336)	-2.16%
Total Louisiana	$2,642,657,575	$2,538,530,664	($104,126,911)	-3.94%

Year-over- comparisons show continued declines in each of the four market areas with an overall slower decline in fourth quarter revenues.  We will continue to publish quarterly revenue reports along with results of our visits to facilities in each region.

Specific facility studies and requests are available by request to jamesmcgregorsr@gmail.com or calling 904-859-7344. 

Stay tuned.